Monday 24 February 2014

UKRAINE ; CRITICAL WEEK FOR RUSSIA AND THE EU !


Is Ukraine now out of the clutches of Russia ?  Can Ukraine now decide its own political future ?  Will democratic  Elections be held on May 25, 2014 ?

For a large part the answers to these questions depend on what Putin and Russia decide is best for their Russian interests !

Russia does not want to lose the control of the huge network of Gas Pipelines which provide Siberian Gas not only to Ukraine but other former "satellite countries" now already in the EU.  In eastern Ukraine the residents are mainly Russian speaking and there are factories  which produce a wide range of goods exported mainly to Russia.

The opportunities available in the EU have seduced Ukrainians in the west of the country.  They revolted immediately when President Yanukovych preferred ties with Russia and stopped negotiations to join the EU. 

Will Putin, now free from the shackles of "Sochi", invade or attack Ukraine ?  Or will he prefer to split Ukraine by holding on to the East of the country to serve as a "Buffer" between Russia and the EU ?

Alternatively, will the EU or the EUROZONE bail-out Ukraine ?  Without the Russian Loans promised on November 21, 2013 but still not paid, Ukraine faces a bleak future ! 

The solution must come quickly.  There are many Russian speakers in the East who now sympathise with the Rioters in Kiev, where even the police have apparently already changed sides ! 

Yanukovych is in hiding (or in Russia) !  The new interim President, Oleksandr Tourchynov, the hitherto Speaker of Parliament, must quickly be seen to act, and wisely !  He knows full well what his people want. 

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