Wednesday 25 November 2015

WHEN WILL THE ENDLESS MIDDLE EAST WAR END ?


Slowly Western Powers are preparing to join France and Russia in a war against the Extreme I S Terrorists in the Middle East.  The reality of recent atrocities in France has created the fear  that  I S will carry on attacking, but not only in France. 

The impression is that I S could be totally destroyed  very  quickly in the Middle East, particularly in Syria and Iraq.  Concentrated bombardments with Missiles and the destruction of Oil Wells and Main Roads, could seal the defeat of the Islamic State within one year.

The unknown factor is "what will happen afterwards" ?   Without "feet on the ground" Western forces could never impose peace or ensure peace after this war.  Could Russia, even with its army already in Syria, prevent further atrocities in that country ?  Bachar al Assad has many enemies !

There is general unrest all over the Middle East.  Above all, revenge is in the hearts of many who have lost relatives and friends.  Likewise religious sects will still want to impose their beliefs.   This will be like several civil wars going on at the same time.

Although the I S danger could be quickly defused in the Middle East, many Cells of Activists, all over the EU, will still be "alive".  Attacks, like those in France recently, can be expected.

This clearly means that the EU must unite now.  It must pool all anti-terrorist information and agree to share it with North America, to snuff out active cells.      

One cannot ignore the fact that there are also active terrorist cells in Asia and Africa.  This has already provoked floods of Refugees from those areas who also to try to migrate into Europe, in spite the new EU "closed doors" Policy !   

Will "Refugees" want to return home once there is real Peace in their country ?   That will probably depend on how long they  have waited in Europe.  The longer they wait, the less likely they will want to return to the ruins of their countries of origin.  

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