President Hollande has said he will decide whether to stand as a candidate for his re-election as President, at the end of December 2016.
He dearly wants to be re-elected for a second and last term of 5 years, in spite of his currently very low (12%) popularity and is already clearly on the Election Trail !
But "officially" he is not yet a candidate. Everything he says must therefore be understood as being for his function only, as the President of France !
Therefore, if he does think that he could win, it will be due to his plans and rising tide of popularity. Will he then still risk all and participate in the planned Socialist Primary Election on January, 22 and 29 2017 ?
There are already several expected Primary candidates. The Socialist left-winger Arnaud Montebourg, Hollande's former Minister of the Economy, has announced that he will definitely take part in the Socialist Primary, and respect the result, even if Hollande wins .