There are four candidates who have a reasonable chance to reach the next round of the French Presidential Election this Sunday, 22 April 2012 !!!
The two favorites are obviously the official Socialist Candidate, François Hollande, who has led Opinion Polls from the start and the outgoing President, Nicolas Sarkozy.
In fact the next real question is could Marine Le Pen, Leader of the Extreme Right (National Front), pip Sarkozy to the second spot in the voting this Sunday ?
Alternatively, could Melenchon, leader of the Extreme Left, get the second spot ? This seems very unlikely, but who knows what horse trading is going on behind the scenes among the smaller candidates ?
The last, big, unkown factor is whether "Opinion Poll non-voters" (or abstainers), will finally decide to vote or not ? Will they vote left, or right ? They are estimated to be 25% of the electorate !!!