Wednesday 13 April 2016

FRANCE : TURMOIL BEFORE 2017 PRESIDENTIALS !


Despite all the anger and nervousness of all the potential Candidates for the next Presidential Election in 2017, President Hollande appears very calm and confident about his chances !  

He probably assumes that he could stand as THE sole Socialist Candidate because the Economic and Financial and Social conditions in France will swing in his favour, before the end of 2016 !  This remains to be seen !

At present nothing can be taken for granted !  The Socialists are already planning their Primary Election to adopt their Official Presidential Candidate !  In Opinion Polls, the popularity of Hollande has sunk to between 15 and 20%, which are all-time lows !   But who in the Government will dare to be a candidate ?   There are several Ministers who "might dare", but not yet ! 

The support he and Socialists have lost has gone to the Right, partly to the Republicans, but mainly to the Extreme Right "National Front", for whom Marine Le Pen is expected to be one of the two candidates in the 2nd Decisive Round to elect the President !  She is expected to poll more than 30% of the Votes in the 1st Round !

Hollande has had a disasterous first term as President and no one believes that he could ever win a second term.  What trick could he still pull out of the Hat ? 

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