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Wednesday, 23 November 2016


The lightning rise in the popularity of François Fillion  was totally unexpected !  It relegated Alain Juppé the favourate to 2nd place and former President Sarkozy to 3rd : he then immediately announced his retirement from politics - for the second time !  The first time was 5 years ago after Hollande defeated him to become President ! 

Another serious casualty is Socialist President Hollande !   His first term has been a catastrophy, to put it mildly !  However he "desperately" wants to stand for a second term of 5 years because he maintains he is the only Socialist candidate with enough experience !  Additionally he is also "certain" in his mind that he could again beat Sarkozy !   He has done it once, why not again ?

He has delayed any official declation of his intentions until early December, which would be after the Republican Primary !  This has also delayed the staging of Primary Elections by the Socialist Party !  They have been scheduled for early January 2017.

If he decides to stand for re-election as President, he must take part in the Primary !  His popularity in France is at an all-time low of 14% compared with any other previous President.   His Prime Minister, Manuel Valls, has a constant popularity rating which is at least twice as high ! 

Valls has been loyal for a long time, always saying he would never stand against Hollande !  However, recently Valls was put in his place by Hollande for commenting on remarks in the book "A President should not say that..."!  

Valls may finally stand whatever  Hollande decides !   This is also the secret hope of many Socialists !