Today, 23 October 2014, there is no medical solution available to limit the spread of the EBOLA epidemic. It is a pandemic desease.
There is evidence that scientists are closing in on solutions but this does not stop the epidemic from spreading; this is the real situation which all the Leaders in our World are facing now !
Before today there have been almost 5 000 official deaths but there are countless infected people who do not yet realise they are spreading the epidemic.
The incubation period, before the desease breaks out, is 2 to 3 weeks. Death normally follows during the next 3 weeks. This explains the first six weeks.
When a vaccine or another solution is finally discovered it must be tested and then mass produced. It must be distributed everywhere, not just to African countries, but at airports at least and other key points throughout the World !
The time it takes to Produce and Distribute the vaccine to key points where trained personnel await it, can only be estimated. Let's say it will take only one month !
When the date of delivery of the product is known, add six weeks to cover the last cases for whom the innoculation came too late !
The conclusion must be that the EBOLA danger today cannot start to be controled effectively before at least (23/10/2014 + one month + six weeks =) 4 January 2015 !
Should the World Health Organisation not make this clear to the whole world, using better estimates than those used here in this calculation ?
Not only Sport and Sportsmen need to plan for the future, but the whole Business world must be able to plan ahead with certainty !
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