Thursday 2 April 2015

UK : WHAT KIND OF COALITION AFTER THE GENERAL ELECTION ?

There seems to be only one unanswered element before the next General Election in the United Kingdom on Thursday, May 7, 2015 !  

"Which other Party will be in the best position to participate in a Coalition Government with the Conservatives if they alone do not obtain a working majority ?"

Skirmishes have already taken place as all the Parties and their Leaders try to "position" themselves.   In the end everything will of course depend on the number of elected MPs each party obtains in this "first past the post" election ! 

A Conservative Party majority is not at all certain  despite its competent resurrection of the bankrupt Britain they inherited in 2010 from the Socialists after their 13 years in power !  

There have been three significant events since the last General Election in 2010 :

1)  Scotland voted in the Referendum against Total Independence and to stay in the UK, but probably not against more delegated Local Government.  As a result it is expected that more than just 6 Scottish National Party (SNP) MPs will be elected  in May ! 

2) In Scotland 29 Socialist MPs and 11 Liberal- Democrats were elected in 2010.  Any large swing to SNP will be felt by these two parties !

3) In the 2010 Westminister Parliamentary Election no United Kingdom Independence Party (UKIP) candidate was elected.  However, in the EU Parliamentary Elections in May 2014, 24 UKIP MEPs were successful, as well as 20 Socialists and 19 Conservatives ! 

It would seem that in this General Election UKIP will win seats at the expense of the Conservatives and Socialists ! 

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The foregoing observations do not take into account any of the political promises of any of the Parties ! 
 
Theoretically a "hung Parliament" is therefore a distinct possibility !  However, as always, before Election Day anything can happen !  Mistakes will be made and as always, voters will have the last word !
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