Wednesday 29 April 2015

SCOTTISH VOTE COULD SURPRISE MANY !

There has been more speculation on how SNP candidates will change the future of politics in Westminster, than the economic policies needed to improve life "north of the border" ! 

In Scotland, to represent a population of 5.2 million people, 59 MPs are elected to the UK Parliament in London where a total of 650 UK MPs represent a total UK population of 63.2 Million . 

In the last General Election in 2010 Gordon Brown, the Scottish born Prime Minister, was staunchly backed in Scotland where 41 Labour MPs were elected.   He took over as Prime Minister from Tony Blair in 2007 when the country was in dire straits !  

David Cameron has spent the last 5 years  revitalising the UK Economy and even gave Scotland the chance to vote on Independence or just more Local Governmental powers.  Voters opted for the latter solution which was the most prudent but greatly disappointed the SNP (Scottish National Party). 

The Leader of SNP and a Member of the Scottish Parliament (MSP) Nicola Sturgeon has played a leading role in whipping-up Nationalist sentiments, with the double aim of increasing the number of SNP MPs and then getting another Referendum or Vote for Scottish Independence, but she is not a Candidate in this election !  

More SNP MPs would largely be at the expense of the Labour Party and its 41 MPs elected in 2010, particularly as Gordon Brown has now retired and Ed Miliband, the new Labour Leader is not Scottish but an Englishman living in Hampstead !

Temptation lurks at this point !  Would Labour and SNP be prepared to form a Coalition if there is a hung Parliament ?  Miliband and Sturgeon have a "love - hate" attitude on this.  Anything could happen and nothing is clear !         

Scottish electors are prudent realists !  They proved this in the Referendum !  Will they massively vote again for Labour or now for SNP ? 

Or will they want to avoid unsure solutions by voting in several new Conservatives or LibDems who have been in office and proved that things can get better ?  

What is quite clear is that another referendum on "Independence" must wait !  The next Referendum will be after Cameron has negotiated changes to EU Treaties in Brussels ! 

The Scottish vote next week could change many things, for better or for worse ! 

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