Wednesday 4 February 2015

FRANCE: WHO COULD GOVERN IN 2017 ?

The whole political scene in France at present is in complete disarray !  On the Left the Government Coalition has lost its majority and on the Right, UMP fears that the National Front (FN) could get the upper hand.

The Government Coalition was slowly being deserted and this led President Hollande to appoint Manuel Valls as Prime Minister and then Emmanuel Macron as Minister of the Economy.  Their policies are more centrist and less left than the original Socialist policies, and this change appeals more to the "big business" leaders.  Choosing them is proving to be a master stroke by President Hollande !

On the Right Nicolas Sarkozy, who once said if he was beaten as President he would leave politics, made a non-easy comeback as President of the UMP party.  He obviously wants to stand again in the Presidential Election in 2017 !  Alas others also have this ambition !  This has cause rifts in the ranks of UMP !

Further UMP rifts are created by the FN party which has been mopping-up drifting voters, on the left and the right, for about ten years in all the elections.  In the first round of the current bye election in Doubs, the FN candidate came first by beating the Socialist.  The UMP candidate was eliminated !  

For whom should UMP Voters vote in the second round ?  No one, official, choice could be agreed !  UMP was split by this issue !

To become the President of France, the next election in 2017   will be the last chance for several well known but older politicians on the Right and Left !  Marine Le Pen, the leader of FN is feared by everyone, on the Left or Right ! 

Additionally, there are also other much younger candidates in the wings of the Socialist Party and of UMP, even if it does manage to survive until May 2017 !

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